Group A, Decoded: Mexico Through — Who Grabs Second? (Live Odds)

Mexico did their job early, so Group A's final day is a three-way scrap for the spot behind them. We update this page every day through the group stage — the newest odds are always at the top.

📊 Latest — June 20

Mexico lead on 6 points and are through. South Korea sit second on 3; the Czech Republic and South Africa are both on 1. Final games (June 24): Czech Republic vs Mexico, and South Africa vs South Korea.

Here's every way it can go:

• South Korea win or draw vs South Africa → through in second, in almost every version.
• South Korea only go out if they lose to South Africa and the Czechs beat Mexico — then they drop to last.
• South Africa must beat South Korea to have a real shot at second; a draw isn't enough.
• The Czech Republic must beat Mexico at the Azteca to survive — anything less and they're out.
• Mexico lose top spot only if they lose to the Czechs and Korea win big enough to flip the goal difference.

Short version: Korea control their fate, South Africa need a win, the Czechs need a shock, Mexico are already through.

This is one piece of Your First World Cup. We decode every group this way and refresh it daily until the group stage ends.