First World Cup Guides

Group D, Decoded: USA Through — Paraguay v Australia for Second (Live Odds)

oudinia

oudinia

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Updated June 22

Group stage4 of 6 played · Final round June 25
United States6 pts
Through ✓ · winners
Australia3 pts
2nd on GD edge ▲
Paraguay3 pts
Win = in
Türkiye0 pts
Eliminated (−3)

How it's decided

Paraguay or Australia win → winner takes 2nd
They draw → both likely advance (Australia GD edge)
USA beat or draw Türkiye → USA win the group

The hosts took care of business, so Group D's last day is simple: one game decides everything still open. We update this page every day through the group stage — newest odds at the top.

📊 Latest — June 20

USA lead on 6 points with a commanding +5 goal difference — effectively through as group winners. Australia and Paraguay are level on 3; Türkiye are bottom on 0 (−4). Final games (June 25): Türkiye vs USA, and Paraguay vs Australia.

Here's every way it can go:

  • The USA are winners in every realistic scenario — that +5 goal difference protects top spot even if they slip against Türkiye.
  • The decisive game is Paraguay vs Australia — a straight shootout for second. Win, and you're in.
  • A draw likely sends both through (one second, one into the best-third pool), with Australia's goal-difference edge nudging them ahead.
  • Türkiye are out unless they beat the USA and get a goal-difference miracle.

Short version: USA done and almost certainly top; Paraguay vs Australia winner takes second; Türkiye need snookers.

This is one piece of Your First World Cup. We decode every group this way and refresh it daily until the group stage ends.

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